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How Much Exercise Can Offset the Health Risks of Sitting All Day?

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The New Smoking

Printed August 24, 2026 08:26AM

Again in 2014, I wrote an article describing sitting as “the new smoking.” In my protection, I meant the phrase to be learn in air quotes—even on the time, it appeared a bit hyperbolic.

Within the years since then, the panic over the well being risks of uninterrupted sitting time has receded.

The science hasn’t actually modified although. There’s nonetheless proof that being stapled to your workplace chair all day is unhealthy for you, in ways in which even probably the most rigorous train routine may not have the ability to erase.

It’s that final half that is still controversial: the concept sitting for ten hours is unhealthy even in the event you, say, ran for 2 hours that morning.

Over time, studies have seesawed backwards and forwards on the query of whether or not ample train is sufficient to erase the hazards of extreme sedentary time.

In an upcoming challenge of the journal Drugs & Science in Sports activities & Train, the 2 sides sq. off in a proper pointcounterpointrebuttalcounter-rebuttal debate.

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The declare to be debated is “Bodily Exercise Totally Offsets the Well being Dangers of Sedentary Conduct.” Listed here are among the key arguments.

Why Train Trumps Sitting

The case in favor of train was authored by Ulf Ekelund and his colleagues on the Norwegian College of Sports activities Science and the Norwegian Institute of Public Well being in Oslo. The crux of their argument is, basically, “Verify the information.”

Giant long-term research have discovered that the extra hours per day you spend sitting, the extra doubtless you’re to develop circumstances similar to coronary heart illness and, finally, to die prematurely.

The important thing query is whether or not eight hours of sitting per day is equally unhealthy for somebody who does no train, somebody who does a little bit of train, and somebody who does lots of train.

Early research advised that train supplied partial however not full safety from the ravages of sitting. However Ekelund and his colleagues aren’t satisfied by the information or the statistical strategies of those research.

After they aggregated knowledge from 16 research with greater than 1,000,000 topics, they reached a distinct conclusion, as proven within the following graph:

The more exercise you do, the less your sitting time matters.
The extra train you do, the much less your sitting time issues. (Picture: The Lancet)

It’s an advanced determine, nevertheless it’s price taking a second to parse it. Hazard ratio, on the vertical axis, is an estimate of how doubtless you’re to die throughout the examine interval.

A hazard ratio of 1.1 mainly implies that you’re 10 p.c extra more likely to die in comparison with the reference group.

The themes are break up into 4 teams of 4. The group on the far left is the heavy exercisers: they get greater than 35.5 MET-hours per week of bodily exercise, which works out to 60 to 75 minutes of average train per day.

The group on the far proper is the non-exercisers, getting lower than 2.5 MET-hours per week, or lower than 5 minutes per day.

Inside every group, they’re divided based mostly on how a lot time they spend sitting, from lower than 4 hours per day to greater than eight hours. As you’d anticipate, the hazard ratio inside every train group usually will increase with sitting time.

Try the non-exercisers on the far proper: those that sit the least have a hazard ratio of 1.2, whereas those that sit probably the most are up close to 1.6. That’s a giant distinction.

However look extra intently on the heavy exercisers on the left. Those that sit lower than 4 hours per day are the reference group, with a hazard ratio of 1.0. However those that sit extra aren’t noticeably worse off.

Even these sitting greater than eight hours a day have a modest hazard ratio of round 1.05 with an error bar that passes via the 1.0 line, which means that there’s no statistically important enhance in danger from sitting for greater than eight hours a day.

QED, in response to Ekelund.

Why Train Doesn’t Trump Sitting

Surprisingly sufficient, the crux of the counterargument, as articulated by a gaggle led by Paddy Dempsey of Deakin College in Australia, can also be “Verify the information.”

Ekelund’s million-subject meta-analysis, for instance, depends on self-reported train and sitting knowledge, which is notoriously inaccurate.

Utilizing goal knowledge collected by wearable accelerometers produces a distinct final result in a minimum of some research, with the hurt of extreme sitting not fully eradicated by numerous train.

And even in the event you look again at Ekelund’s knowledge above, you’ll be able to’t assist pondering that the hazard ratios are trending upward with elevated sitting. The impact will not be statistically important at eight hours, however what about ten? Or twelve?

Dempsey and co. have a number of different strains of argument. One which I don’t discover convincing is “dose realism,” which factors out that even when it’s theoretically doable to wipe out ills of sitting with train, only a few individuals are truly able to doing and/or keen to try this a lot train.

Which may be true, however I’m nonetheless concerned about understanding whether or not it’s doable—as a result of whether it is, I need to be one of many comfortable few who does it!

A extra convincing level, to me, is the query of physiological plausibility. Or to place it one other method, is the issue with sitting merely the absence of train? Or does extended lack of motion mess up your metabolism in methods which might be distinct from the great issues that train does?

There are numerous strains of proof suggesting that the absence of muscle contractions for hours at a time causes injury. For example, the frictional drag of blood dashing via your blood vessels while you transfer triggers the discharge of nitric oxide, which helps preserve the vessel partitions supple and responsive.

If you cease transferring for hours at a time, the absence of this sign leaves your vessel partitions stiffer, which over the long run can predispose you to coronary heart illness.

One other signal that sedentary time straight causes injury is the phenomenon of “exercise resistance.” Usually train produces a bunch of quick metabolic advantages: higher insulin sensitivity, greater glucose tolerance, decrease triglycerides.

However in the event you’re fully sedentary for a couple of days, then the measurable metabolic advantages of the very same exercise are blunted.

The Verdict

That is a type of debates the place I completed studying all sides pondering, “Hmm, this sounds fairly convincing, I suppose they’re proper.” In different phrases, there merely isn’t sufficient knowledge at this level to definitively choose a aspect.

From a theoretical perspective, I discover the “physiological plausibility” argument highly effective. Sitting isn’t unhealthy merely since you’re not transferring round and thus lacking out on a possibility to get fitter; it’s unhealthy as a result of unfavourable issues are taking place inside your physique.

In that sense, saying that train can cancel out the unfavourable results of sitting is like claiming that consuming ample broccoli will cancel out the unfavourable results of ice cream. In actuality, regardless of how a lot broccoli you eat, you’re nonetheless higher off consuming much less ice cream.

(Don’t take this instance too actually: I’m with Don Kardong, the Olympic marathoner who famously stated: “With out ice cream there could be darkness and chaos.”)

In observe, is that this one thing to panic about? Do it is advisable to set an alarm to do leaping jacks each 20 minutes for the remainder of your waking life? Ekelund’s knowledge reassures me that, with ample train, which appears to be the equal of about an hour of average exercise per day, it’s not that pressing.

I’ve a sit-stand desk, and I usually solely elevate it a few occasions a day for 10 or quarter-hour, after I discover that my legs are getting stiff. At that time, it truly feels higher to face up for some time, so it’s not a burden.

After all, the explanation that my legs are stiff is normally that I’ve finished a very lengthy or onerous run that morning. Paradoxically, I discover it a lot simpler to unintentionally keep glued to my workplace chair for hours on finish after I’m not doing a lot coaching.

The extra sedentary you’re, the simpler it’s to remain sedentary. Perhaps that’s a rule of thumb to bear in mind: if getting out of your chair seems like a giant problem, then it’s time to face up.


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